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Post by spaneli on Mar 16, 2016 15:23:22 GMT -5
Come on, Mr Obama. You can choose a better nominee for the SCOTUS than Mr Garland. Choosing a centrist in hopes that you'll look "reasonable" when the Republicans inevitably refuse to confirm him is beyond delusional. Show some spine, for once! Nominate someone who is more consistently liberal! Obama has let me down so much ever since 2008. I feel hoodwinked and betrayed. In fact, I feel like Beady’s Here Now when I criticize him like this. And I'm not exactly a radical progressive! You feel betrayed because the President of the United States made a reasonable decision? Obama isn't a progressive, you know this right? He's a moderate. Fully progressive candidates are rarely elected, i.e. Bernie Sanders. In the end, he made the right move. How is choosing an overtly progressive candidate showing spine? You know what it is? Dumb shit. Let's say he showed some spine as you say and nominated an extreme leftist. You know what that would do? It would rile up the progressive base, but it would also prove the Republicans' point correct. That Obama was always going to push a progressive candidate rather than the best candidate. It would have easily bolstered Republican chances with Independents who would see the Republican intransigence as needed in November, while only inciting progressives. But guess what, the progressive base is not enough to win an election. I will say it till I'm blue in the face, but America is a center right country. It's not New York, it's not Chicago, it's not L.A. It full of southern and western states that aren't particularly progressive. Nominating a progressive Supreme Court candidate would have accomplished nothing and would have put a nominee like Hillary in an untenable position. Currently, among NBC/Huffington Post/ABC polling either 48%, 49%, or the highest 63% of Americans believe Republicans should hold hearings for the supreme court nominee. However, much of that support would quickly erode if Obama went with a highly leftist nominee. In fact, much of that support is because Obama has looked presidential in his handling of this which has caused more Americans to rush to his defense. In the end, anyone Obama chooses is a big step-up from Scalia. Stop thinking in terms of getting an ultra leftist on the court. Instead, think of it like this, the Republicans have lost their automatic "no" vote. A centrist, and a liberal centrist at that, is worth just as much as an ultra leftist nominee. Obama made the smart decision. Obama made the right decision. He made a decision that once again painted Republicans in a corner where they are aligned with Trump. He made himself and his party look reasonable. He'll probably get more support in the polls, and it will lead to more support for Hillary. Those things would not have happened if he had went with a leftist decision and showed a little spine. Obama as usual is playing the long game, and it will work far better than the short game. So while you may feel betrayed.....which I don't know how you would feel betrayed considering Obama isn't even a leftist president, then fine. But it feels like you wanted to show rather than the substance.
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Post by spaneli on Mar 16, 2016 15:25:37 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Mar 16, 2016 17:39:51 GMT -5
I was hoping as more and more people got informed ahead of the coming election people would realise Clinton is a corporatist and basically a Democrat party version of Mitt Romney or an American Cameron and move their vote to the obvious choice in Bernie Sanders but it all appears to be going as expected with Hillary picking up big wins last night.
I can't help but feel like if Clinton was male she wouldn't have such a lead over Sanders. I know it's pretty appalling that the only people in with a chance of becoming President in the past have been white males. A great country like America shouldn't be ruled by one demographic. Eventhough it would be a great milestone to finally have a female in that position, Clinton is awful. Where she stands on any given issue depends far more on cynical political calculation than any principals she may have. She's a flip-flopping liar. Sanders is a gender egalitarian and would fight for women's rights more than Hillary, who appears to be getting the feminist vote just because she has the same body parts as them :/ Which is as shallow as the crap I heard from old workmates, who were girls who said they were voting for Cameron over Brown in 2010 because he was better looking...
I just feel on both sides of the atlantic, after years of recession that we just need a little bit more socialism. Just a little bit more help from our well paid, elected officals. The 40% higher tax threshold has just been raised in the UK from earning over 40k PA to 45k PA while sweetened drinks are now being taxed 20% more.
If that isn't a specific targeting of the lower class and an obvious middle class tax break, in such an awful economic time, when full time workers often don't earn enough to live then I don't know what to call that bullshit. Most of us 'libtards' are just advocating a bit more compassion and equality, it annoys the hell out of me when you try to say stuff like this and people accuse you of being a communist or wanting some kind of anarchist regime. Both countries have a great chance of a much needed slight shift to the left in Sanders and Corbyn and I just hate how we're wasting it!
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Post by mystoryisgory on Mar 16, 2016 18:16:59 GMT -5
Come on, Mr Obama. You can choose a better nominee for the SCOTUS than Mr Garland. Choosing a centrist in hopes that you'll look "reasonable" when the Republicans inevitably refuse to confirm him is beyond delusional. Show some spine, for once! Nominate someone who is more consistently liberal! Obama has let me down so much ever since 2008. I feel hoodwinked and betrayed. In fact, I feel like Beady’s Here Now when I criticize him like this. And I'm not exactly a radical progressive! You feel betrayed because the President of the United States made a reasonable decision? Obama isn't a progressive, you know this right? He's a moderate. Fully progressive candidates are rarely elected, i.e. Bernie Sanders. In the end, he made the right move. How is choosing an overtly progressive candidate showing spine? You know what it is? Dumb shit. Let's say he showed some spine as you say and nominated an extreme leftist. You know what that would do? It would rile up the progressive base, but it would also prove the Republicans' point correct. That Obama was always going to push a progressive candidate rather than the best candidate. It would have easily bolstered Republican chances with Independents who would see the Republican intransigence as needed in November, while only inciting progressives. But guess what, the progressive base is not enough to win an election. I will say it till I'm blue in the face, but America is a center right country. It's not New York, it's not Chicago, it's not L.A. It full of southern and western states that aren't particularly progressive. Nominating a progressive Supreme Court candidate would have accomplished nothing and would have put a nominee like Hillary in an untenable position. Currently, among NBC/Huffington Post/ABC polling either 48%, 49%, or the highest 63% of Americans believe Republicans should hold hearings for the supreme court nominee. However, much of that support would quickly erode if Obama went with a highly leftist nominee. In fact, much of that support is because Obama has looked presidential in his handling of this which has caused more Americans to rush to his defense. In the end, anyone Obama chooses is a big step-up from Scalia. Stop thinking in terms of getting an ultra leftist on the court. Instead, think of it like this, the Republicans have lost their automatic "no" vote. A centrist, and a liberal centrist at that, is worth just as much as an ultra leftist nominee. Obama made the smart decision. Obama made the right decision. He made a decision that once again painted Republicans in a corner where they are aligned with Trump. He made himself and his party look reasonable. He'll probably get more support in the polls, and it will lead to more support for Hillary. Those things would not have happened if he had went with a leftist decision and showed a little spine. Obama as usual is playing the long game, and it will work far better than the short game. So while you may feel betrayed.....which I don't know how you would feel betrayed considering Obama isn't even a leftist president, then fine. But it feels like you wanted to show rather than the substance. No need to get so worked up, spaneli. I think you're one of the better posters on here and I respect your opinion as we should respect those of others. I definitely see the point you're making. Sometimes being reasonable is the right way to go. But at the same time, Obama could've pushed someone with slightly more liberal views. Not necessarily someone as left as Bernie Sanders, but at least as left as someone like Sotomayor. The Republicans would nominate Scalia the 2nd if they'd been in power, so why not a leftist? It seems that every time Obama tries to be reasonable, the Republicans come back with more unreasonable demands. Just look at the previous times the government's shut down, such as over Obamacare. However, I'm reading up on Garland's background, and the more I read about him, the more I see that he was a good choice in that he could still shift the balance of the court in a liberal direction. Which is a great thing. Imo, it's about time we had a change in the court's thinking. My main concern was that Garland would be the next Kennedy. And about being betrayed...I know Obama is very much a moderate. He's shown to be such throughout his term. It's just that he campaigned in '08 on the platform that he would bring a new perspective to Washington, but he didn't, did he? I wouldn't have a problem with his strategy of compromise if the Republicans didn't keep making their demands more and more unreasonable. And no matter how much he conceded, Republicans would still attack his accomplishments. The rise of the Tea Party didn't make things better. You might argue that Democrats should not sink to the level of stubbornness that the Republicans are so eager to flaunt. And I'd agree with you. But many (even moderates) will still see what he does as radical, as misinformed as they may be. Maybe I was expecting too much. I agree that the U.S. is a conservative country; I've lived in the Deep South for most of my life. As nice of a dream as it might've been, Sanders will never become President of the United States. Perhaps my original post was a bit strongly worded. But despite all the great things he's done, I still wish that Obama were a bit more liberal. Just an opinion at the end of the day.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 16, 2016 18:19:17 GMT -5
My political rant of the day: The news that Sanders will probably lose the nomination is kinda sad, even though I've never been his biggest fan. Tbh he was kinda screwed by the Democratic establishment from the start, who are so eager to push Clinton because they think a more moderate Democrat will win the election. Which is sound logic, I guess. But I hate how Clinton is appealing so much to moderates and moderate conservatives. Like continuing to mention Kissinger and the Reagans, wtf? This might be alright when campaigning for the real election, but this is still the primaries, where candidates are supposed to appeal to their base, and not to the general public. Comments like that run the risk of alienating even moderate liberals like myself. But what can you expect from someone whose husband was all about "triangulation". Her attitude is reminding me of Obama's during the 2012 election, where he tried too hard to appeal to everyone. I remember being scared that he'd lose the election because of this. Luckily he ended up winning, but mostly because Romney had made so many blunders. Sometimes, supporting the Dems is a bit like being an Oasis fan. You like them and vote for them, but they always end up letting you down. Anyway, back to Clinton. I know she's trying to get backing from Republicans who feel alienated in their own party, but she can be a bit more liberal in her stances and still look "sane" compared to Trump or Cruz. he should have hit hillary hard from the beginning but he didn't. nice guys finish last.
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Post by mystoryisgory on Mar 16, 2016 18:56:10 GMT -5
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Post by eva Fawkes on Mar 16, 2016 19:38:30 GMT -5
Like I said, Hillary Cinton's going to win the presidency, go back to living your life or being concerned with your tax rate.....gay marriage's legal on Obama, national healthcare isn't working; republicans are backwards idiots.
Life is really really short, politics goes on forever.....
God bless.
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Post by RocketMan on Mar 16, 2016 20:19:11 GMT -5
“I’m speaking with myself, number one, because I have a very good brain and I’ve said a lot of things." - Donald Trump on who he consults on foreign policy matters.
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Post by As You Built The Moon on Mar 17, 2016 13:30:16 GMT -5
I can't help but feel like if Clinton was male she wouldn't have such a lead over Sanders. I was thinking the same thing today. I doubt that a male version of Hillary without her name recognition would have done much better in this race than Martin O'Malley.
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Post by As You Built The Moon on Mar 17, 2016 15:30:45 GMT -5
Wow.
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Post by Beady’s Here Now on Mar 17, 2016 20:22:52 GMT -5
Like I said, Hillary Cinton's going to win the presidency, go back to living your life or being concerned with your tax rate.....gay marriage's legal on Obama, national healthcare isn't working; republicans are backwards idiots. Life is really really short, politics goes on forever..... God bless. We can go for a walk where it's quiet and dry and talk about precious things, like love and law and poverty. These are the things that kill me.
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Post by As You Built The Moon on Mar 17, 2016 20:58:24 GMT -5
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Post by spaneli on Mar 18, 2016 0:55:23 GMT -5
I can't help but feel like if Clinton was male she wouldn't have such a lead over Sanders. I was thinking the same thing today. I doubt that a male version of Hillary without her name recognition would have done much better in this race than Martin O'Malley. Well Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee.......so there you go? Sanders isn't winning this race because he's not a very good candidate for president. If he was a better candidate, then he'd be I don't know, another male that beat Clinton, Obama? That fact can't be ignored. A left-leaning black man in a right leaning country, went from DNC obscurity to beating the most well recognized name in American political history of the last 25 years. Yet Sanders can't notch big wins? Through the use of ample money, ample debates, time to become well-known and sell his message, it hasn't clicked with vast demographics of the American electorate. There's something wrong with that picture and it doesn't come down to gender. It comes down to the quality of the candidate and their ability to connect with larger demographics than white college students. With Sanders working with just as much money as Obama, debates, and time to become well-recognized (and having the advantage of his opponent being well-despised), there's really no excuse for him at this point.Most candidates don't get that many advantages. It just didn't happen for him.
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Post by Elie De Beaufour 🐴 on Mar 18, 2016 7:45:40 GMT -5
Is Drumph copying Pete Wilson's speeches? For example: They keep coming, savage brown skin poors, across the custom checkpoints in San Diego Between Rack of cars on our freeways, they hang their laundry out the window, they do jobs white people are too cool to do themselves. I don't care if it starts a race war, I don't care if it brings every picked out of the class and gets every brown skin savage beaten out on the street
Maybe Brujeria should have waited 21 years.
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Post by Deleted on Mar 18, 2016 9:27:29 GMT -5
I was thinking the same thing today. I doubt that a male version of Hillary without her name recognition would have done much better in this race than Martin O'Malley. Well Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee.......so there you go? Sanders isn't winning this race because he's not a very good candidate for president. If he was a better candidate, then he'd be I don't know, another male that beat Clinton, Obama? That fact can't be ignored. A left-leaning black man in a right leaning country, went from DNC obscurity to beating the most well recognized name in American political history of the last 25 years. Yet Sanders can't notch big wins? Through the use of ample money, ample debates, time to become well-known and sell his message, it hasn't clicked with vast demographics of the American electorate. There's something wrong with that picture and it doesn't come down to gender. It comes down to the quality of the candidate and their ability to connect with larger demographics than white college students. With Sanders working with just as much money as Obama, debates, and time to become well-recognized (and having the advantage of his opponent being well-despised), there's really no excuse for him at this point.Most candidates don't get that many advantages. It just didn't happen for him. Of course. despite agreeing with most of his policies I think he's a very low key, uninspiring guy. But tbh I did expect with just how awful Trump, Clinton and Cruz are that despite being an uninsiping choice he'd be leading those bunch of clowns in the polls. Btw Hillary isn't winning because she's a woman, I just said that I believed it's helped her cause, the small quote of my post above makes me look like I'm looking for excuses, which I'm not. I just believe there is a section of people supporting her purely because of her gender. He hasn't clicked with vast demographics, but I believe that's through their own ignorance. I believe if every citizen researched every candidate and their policies instead of watching big network sponsored debates and bias news reports that not only would corporatists like Trump and Clinton never even be in the running and that right leaning parties and candidates would have a hard time ever getting in again. I think they play their entire campaigns on public fear, ignorance and false nostalgia.
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Post by spaneli on Mar 18, 2016 13:04:23 GMT -5
Well Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee.......so there you go? Sanders isn't winning this race because he's not a very good candidate for president. If he was a better candidate, then he'd be I don't know, another male that beat Clinton, Obama? That fact can't be ignored. A left-leaning black man in a right leaning country, went from DNC obscurity to beating the most well recognized name in American political history of the last 25 years. Yet Sanders can't notch big wins? Through the use of ample money, ample debates, time to become well-known and sell his message, it hasn't clicked with vast demographics of the American electorate. There's something wrong with that picture and it doesn't come down to gender. It comes down to the quality of the candidate and their ability to connect with larger demographics than white college students. With Sanders working with just as much money as Obama, debates, and time to become well-recognized (and having the advantage of his opponent being well-despised), there's really no excuse for him at this point.Most candidates don't get that many advantages. It just didn't happen for him. Of course. despite agreeing with most of his policies I think he's a very low key, uninspiring guy. But tbh I did expect with just how awful Trump, Clinton and Cruz are that despite being an uninsiping choice he'd be leading those bunch of clowns in the polls. Btw Hillary isn't winning because she's a woman, I just said that I believed it's helped her cause, the small quote of my post above makes me look like I'm looking for excuses, which I'm not. I just believe there is a section of people supporting her purely because of her gender. He hasn't clicked with vast demographics, but I believe that's through their own ignorance. I believe if every citizen researched every candidate and their policies instead of watching big network sponsored debates and bias news reports that not only would corporatists like Trump and Clinton never even be in the running and that right leaning parties and candidates would have a hard time ever getting in again. I think they play their entire campaigns on public fear, ignorance and false nostalgia. See I don't buy that, and it does sound like you're making excuses for him Honestly, primary voters tend to be far more passionate than general election voters. If we were talking about the general election, then maybe it would require a higher voter knowledge. However, because primary voters tend to be more passionate, they also tend to be far more educated on the views of a particular candidate than a general election voter. The fact that Sanders hasn't swayed them through what some have considered the best infrastructure of the internet, where he should be able to get his message to people without the "corporatists" affecting it, is an indictment of him as a candidate. Sanders' main issue is that his policies connect VERY well with young voters, and not so well with older voters. Older voters who see many of his policies as fool-hearty, and require more convincing, or who may already be more conservative than the average far left voter. Turns out, older people love to vote. It's the inherent risk of having your campaign depend solely on the younger vote. Also, even if many of those non-white demographics did actual research, as if they're not doing so already, they may not like what they find. Most Hispanic groups have not liked Bernie's past immigration voting, and the fact that he only recently switched on immigration when he knew he would be running for president. Because he hails from Vermont he has consistently voted down immigration enactment under the basis that they would hurt the average American worker, which would be any immigration law. Many blacks know that for all this talk of Bernie being active in the 60's, he hasn't been very active in laws geared toward their demographic in his entirety in the senate, most notably the issue of gun violence. There are legitimate reasons why some have chosen not to vote for him, and it doesn't come down to the coporatists. Lastly, it's not like Hillary didn't lose black/hispanic/older demographics against Obama. So her negative appeal has affected her in the past. Sanders just isn't the best candidate to take advantage of those disadvantages.
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Post by As You Built The Moon on Mar 19, 2016 22:06:23 GMT -5
I was thinking the same thing today. I doubt that a male version of Hillary without her name recognition would have done much better in this race than Martin O'Malley. Well Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee.......so there you go? Sanders isn't winning this race because he's not a very good candidate for president. If he was a better candidate, then he'd be I don't know, another male that beat Clinton, Obama? That fact can't be ignored. A left-leaning black man in a right leaning country, went from DNC obscurity to beating the most well recognized name in American political history of the last 25 years. Yet Sanders can't notch big wins? Through the use of ample money, ample debates, time to become well-known and sell his message, it hasn't clicked with vast demographics of the American electorate. There's something wrong with that picture and it doesn't come down to gender. It comes down to the quality of the candidate and their ability to connect with larger demographics than white college students. With Sanders working with just as much money as Obama, debates, and time to become well-recognized (and having the advantage of his opponent being well-despised), there's really no excuse for him at this point.Most candidates don't get that many advantages. It just didn't happen for him. You're saying that Romney is a male Hillary and he was the 2012 Republican nominee, so that disproves my point? I don't think that's a fair comparison because for one, that was 2012 and this is 2016. In this race, we've seen two populist/pseudo-populist candidates in Sanders and Trump who you'd normally expect to be gone months ago having way more success than anyone expected them to. If Romney actually had the influence the RNC apparently still thinks he has, you would expect that the speech he gave trying to turn Republican voters away from Trump to at least make a little difference, and it doesn't seem that it did. This isn't a typical year. And secondly, Romney was the Republican nominee. The old fashioned doublespeak tactics aren't as effective now as they've been in the past, but it's less so on the Republican side. Oh, I never had any illusion that Sanders had a great chance of yanking a rigged nomination away from Hillary. I posted before Super Tuesday 1 that I liked his chances in the general election better than in winning the nomination of his own party, in part because of the perception that Hillary is more electable. I don't know how much I can agree with Obama starting from DNC obscurity. I had a passing knowledge of him at least a couple years ahead of his presidential run and I don't consider myself a political junkie. I think you're being deliberately obtuse with saying that being male didn't stop Obama from beating Hillary, when the obvious problem with that is progressives wanted a black president then just like they want a woman president now, even among primary voters. Sanders would be our first Jewish president, but I doubt that's quite as exciting to most people. Ample debates that people didn't watch because they were deliberately scheduled at the worst possible times. You can't seriously expect me to think the Democratic establishment or the MSM has given him a fair shake? Listen, before this turns into a fight, I don't think you're an idiot. I think your points in this thread have been sound and well argued. But as I understand, most of the remaining states are favorable for Bernie, and however you want to downplay it, Michigan was the biggest upset in primary history. I'm not holding my breath for him to get the nomination, but if he does stay in until all states have voted, I hope it inspires millennials to get more involved and vote in state and local elections.
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Post by kalas on Mar 20, 2016 3:32:44 GMT -5
OK EVERYBODY IN THIS THREAD. OTHER THAN eva Fawkes. Who even though I think is a fucking moron. Is actually right on a lot of things including Hillary will be the next president I see@spaneli making his usual fucking essay to which nothing really is being said. Beady’s Here Now is gonna be on the right wing. And the rest actually think they know something .... Let the old man clue you all. Even you spaneli. I've been around since NIXON. I actually remember him winning over McGovern in 72 and resigning in 74. I've seen them all since. I've worked and had to hear about inflation , healthcare , Mideast , terrorism , hijacking , unemployment , race relations , longer than all of you ....and I can tell you this. NO MATTER WHO IS THE PRESIDENT. NOTHING WILL CHANGE. I did great under REAGAN. AND CLINTON. I did bad. Under BUSH SENIOR AND OBAMA ( until now ). I seen energy crisis under FORD and CARTER The point .....they were all either republican or demorcrat. And my quality of life never changed ....and it never will. It don't matter who is in office or in senate or house ....big brother. Remains the same. And when you geniuses are 50. You will realize this as well
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Post by spaneli on Mar 20, 2016 8:27:52 GMT -5
Well Mitt Romney was the Republican nominee.......so there you go? Sanders isn't winning this race because he's not a very good candidate for president. If he was a better candidate, then he'd be I don't know, another male that beat Clinton, Obama? That fact can't be ignored. A left-leaning black man in a right leaning country, went from DNC obscurity to beating the most well recognized name in American political history of the last 25 years. Yet Sanders can't notch big wins? Through the use of ample money, ample debates, time to become well-known and sell his message, it hasn't clicked with vast demographics of the American electorate. There's something wrong with that picture and it doesn't come down to gender. It comes down to the quality of the candidate and their ability to connect with larger demographics than white college students. With Sanders working with just as much money as Obama, debates, and time to become well-recognized (and having the advantage of his opponent being well-despised), there's really no excuse for him at this point.Most candidates don't get that many advantages. It just didn't happen for him. You're saying that Romney is a male Hillary and he was the 2012 Republican nominee, so that disproves my point? I don't think that's a fair comparison because for one, that was 2012 and this is 2016. In this race, we've seen two populist/pseudo-populist candidates in Sanders and Trump who you'd normally expect to be gone months ago having way more success than anyone expected them to. If Romney actually had the influence the RNC apparently still thinks he has, you would expect that the speech he gave trying to turn Republican voters away from Trump to at least make a little difference, and it doesn't seem that it did. This isn't a typical year. And secondly, Romney was the Republican nominee. The old fashioned doublespeak tactics aren't as effective now as they've been in the past, but it's less so on the Republican side. Oh, I never had any illusion that Sanders had a great chance of yanking a rigged nomination away from Hillary. I posted before Super Tuesday 1 that I liked his chances in the general election better than in winning the nomination of his own party, in part because of the perception that Hillary is more electable. I don't know how much I can agree with Obama starting from DNC obscurity. I had a passing knowledge of him at least a couple years ahead of his presidential run and I don't consider myself a political junkie. I think you're being deliberately obtuse with saying that being male didn't stop Obama from beating Hillary, when the obvious problem with that is progressives wanted a black president then just like they want a woman president now, even among primary voters. Sanders would be our first Jewish president, but I doubt that's quite as exciting to most people. Ample debates that people didn't watch because they were deliberately scheduled at the worst possible times. You can't seriously expect me to think the Democratic establishment or the MSM has given him a fair shake? Listen, before this turns into a fight, I don't think you're an idiot. I think your points in this thread have been sound and well argued. But as I understand, most of the remaining states are favorable for Bernie, and however you want to downplay it, Michigan was the biggest upset in primary history. I'm not holding my breath for him to get the nomination, but if he does stay in until all states have voted, I hope it inspires millennials to get more involved and vote in state and local elections. Yes, DNC obscurity. Very people knew who Barack Obama was prior to the Democratic National Convention 2004. If you knew about him, then you were more clued in than most people. And I don't think Obama's success came from progressives wanting him to be the first black president nor is Clinton's success coming from her becoming the first female president. If someone like Elizabeth Warren ran I'd be surprised if she carried the day. Mainly because, like Sanders, her policies are too progressive. In the end, Obama had to roll into a primary season that you say is already rigged. Which once again, if it's so rigged, than how did a black man with the middle name of Hussein beat the most formidable democrat of the pat 25 years? That doesn't come down to skin color. Sorry. It came down to him being a great candidate, well organized, an amazing public speaker, and having attainable policy positions, all things Sanders lack, then the added bonus was his skin color. In the end, in every exit poll, the main knock against Sanders is that he's a good man, but people either don't think he'll win or his policies are too progressive. The last time those two things came together, as Kalas points out, McGovern was the nominee (who was far superior candidate than Sanders as a war hero, a PHd holder, and an amazing debater). It's not a matter of being "obtuse." If Sanders was a better candidate, he'd be winning. Because in the end, if the system is so rigged, then how has he competed? Wouldn't it stand that he wouldn't be able to compete at all? Wouldn't it stand that Obama wouldn't have won? Great candidates rise above. Sanders isn't remotely as great of a candidate as Obama was. That's why Obama won, and Sanders is trying to hold his campaign together. Clinton isn't a great a candidate. She has obvious weaknesses, which Obama was able to expertly exploit, but she is a better candidate than Sanders (Much like Romney in 12'. Experienced, tons of blind spots, but better than his more radical counterparts. America isn't a "radical" country voting wise). And Yes, many of the upcoming states are favorable to Sanders. However, many of those states are incredibly small. And Sanders won't win large enough shares in the larger states to come back. Clinton isn't losing New York by 16 point margins, nor California, nor New Jersey, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and those are the largest contests left. In order for Sanders to catch Clinton in pledged delegates, which would be the only reason super delegates would switch to him, he'd have to beat Clinton by an average margin of 58-42 in the upcoming contests. That's just not going to happen, even in many of the states favorable to him. Lastly, Michigan was a big win at the time, but once again, it wasn't a "big" enough win. At the time Sanders was at a -200 pledged delegate deficit. Michigan only bit into that deficient by 3. In essence, Michigan only kept him in the race (if he loses Michigan and the five states this past Tuesday, he drops from this race), but it didn't put him in the race. Now he's at -317 deficit. So he would need other upsets like Michigan in New York, California, New Jersey, Ohio, and Pennsylvania but they'd have to be by 16 point margins instead (this is all assuming he wins all the states that are favorable to him, along with a couple extra by the same 58-42 margin). That's not going to happen. 538 offers an exceptional perspective on this very problem for Sanders: fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-is-following-obamas-path-to-the-nomination/
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Post by The Escapist on Mar 20, 2016 9:25:02 GMT -5
#Underwood2016
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Post by Deleted on Mar 20, 2016 10:17:53 GMT -5
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Post by Deleted on Mar 21, 2016 19:23:49 GMT -5
Of course. despite agreeing with most of his policies I think he's a very low key, uninspiring guy. But tbh I did expect with just how awful Trump, Clinton and Cruz are that despite being an uninsiping choice he'd be leading those bunch of clowns in the polls. Btw Hillary isn't winning because she's a woman, I just said that I believed it's helped her cause, the small quote of my post above makes me look like I'm looking for excuses, which I'm not. I just believe there is a section of people supporting her purely because of her gender. He hasn't clicked with vast demographics, but I believe that's through their own ignorance. I believe if every citizen researched every candidate and their policies instead of watching big network sponsored debates and bias news reports that not only would corporatists like Trump and Clinton never even be in the running and that right leaning parties and candidates would have a hard time ever getting in again. I think they play their entire campaigns on public fear, ignorance and false nostalgia. See I don't buy that, and it does sound like you're making excuses for him Honestly, primary voters tend to be far more passionate than general election voters. If we were talking about the general election, then maybe it would require a higher voter knowledge. However, because primary voters tend to be more passionate, they also tend to be far more educated on the views of a particular candidate than a general election voter. The fact that Sanders hasn't swayed them through what some have considered the best infrastructure of the internet, where he should be able to get his message to people without the "corporatists" affecting it, is an indictment of him as a candidate. Sanders' main issue is that his policies connect VERY well with young voters, and not so well with older voters. Older voters who see many of his policies as fool-hearty, and require more convincing, or who may already be more conservative than the average far left voter. Turns out, older people love to vote. It's the inherent risk of having your campaign depend solely on the younger vote. Also, even if many of those non-white demographics did actual research, as if they're not doing so already, they may not like what they find. Most Hispanic groups have not liked Bernie's past immigration voting, and the fact that he only recently switched on immigration when he knew he would be running for president. Because he hails from Vermont he has consistently voted down immigration enactment under the basis that they would hurt the average American worker, which would be any immigration law. Many blacks know that for all this talk of Bernie being active in the 60's, he hasn't been very active in laws geared toward their demographic in his entirety in the senate, most notably the issue of gun violence. There are legitimate reasons why some have chosen not to vote for him, and it doesn't come down to the coporatists. Lastly, it's not like Hillary didn't lose black/hispanic/older demographics against Obama. So her negative appeal has affected her in the past. Sanders just isn't the best candidate to take advantage of those disadvantages. That all sounds very sensible to me and I feel like I know a lot more about what's going on over there, so thanks! I'm a poll clerk every year for elections in the UK and I have noticed almost everyone coming in is over 50 and they often make a point of proudly championing their conservative views. So I totally get why the older demographic have such a huge say in this. I've often felt though that a lot of this older generation has, on both sides of the atlantic, grown up in far better economic times and have a distorted view of what it's like to grow up in this current economy and how hard it is to start a life now unless you're an exceptionally talented person. They have every right to vote however they want, no matter how informed or whatever, it's their choice. But I wish there was a way to encourage more young people to vote and get involved. It's so important, especially to working people and it seems daft to me that the retired have so much power in deciding how working people are governed because they decide to vote in higher numbers. I'm just rambling now. It just makes me sad both of our countries are throwing away such great opportunities. I see loads of poor sods on the street whenever I go out and people working 40 bloody hours a week in some miserable job can't often afford their own place, transport and any kind of social life. That is completely unacceptable to me for a country that can apparently afford to give those earning between 40k and 44.99k a year a tax breakand invest billions into the military. It's despicable.
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Post by Beady’s Here Now on Mar 21, 2016 19:33:48 GMT -5
I've often felt though that a lot of this older generation has, on both sides of the atlantic, grown up in far better economic times and have a distorted view of what it's like to grow up in this current economy and how hard it is to start a life now unless you're an exceptionally talented person. You're kidding, right? 1970s and the Jimmy Carter era? Admittedly, the current climate isn't much better than that, but still...
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Post by Deleted on Mar 21, 2016 19:42:05 GMT -5
You're kidding, right? 1970s and the Jimmy Carter era? Admittedly, the current climate isn't much better than that, but still... can you fill me in on it? I often hear how this is the worst depression since the 1930's. I know from loads of people I've spoken to that in England it's never been as bad as this, particularly in isolated, cut off seaside towns like the place I live. I never remember hearing about times where working 40 hours a week means you still have to live at home. I know I'm talking more about the UK on a US elections page, but it's the most active political thread on any forum I post on so whatever But I bet there's cut of communities in the US that are just as deprived as the shithole I live in. I hear my grandparents talk about how they used to walk into buisinesses and get a job and they don't understand how there's unemployment now. You have to be exceptional to get a supermarket job around here and the competition for minimum wage jobs is so severe they can afford to give you 15 minute lunch breaks, treat you like dog shit, give no sick days, no holidays and sack you at will when they claim "we cant afford you" because they know they can just get paid by the gov't to hire someone else. It's fucking shite now and we could really do with Sanders and Corbyn
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Post by tomlivesforever on Mar 22, 2016 6:40:34 GMT -5
can you fill me in on it? I often hear how this is the worst depression since the 1930's. I know from loads of people I've spoken to that in England it's never been as bad as this, particularly in isolated, cut off seaside towns like the place I live. I never remember hearing about times where working 40 hours a week means you still have to live at home. I know I'm talking more about the UK on a US elections page, but it's the most active political thread on any forum I post on so whatever But I bet there's cut of communities in the US that are just as deprived as the shithole I live in. I hear my grandparents talk about how they used to walk into buisinesses and get a job and they don't understand how there's unemployment now. You have to be exceptional to get a supermarket job around here and the competition for minimum wage jobs is so severe they can afford to give you 15 minute lunch breaks, treat you like dog shit, give no sick days, no holidays and sack you at will when they claim "we cant afford you" because they know they can just get paid by the gov't to hire someone else. It's fucking shite now and we could really do with Sanders and CorbynThat would be amazing. The sort of thing I would dream of. Two people who seem broadly committed to closing the gap between rich and poor and doing the best they can for the most.
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